Well, I guess all that talk about Lakers general manager, Mitch Kupchak, believing in the value of Ron Artest a couple years ago wasn't just talk. Today news came out that we were going to
lose Trevor Ariza and gain Artest.
At first, I believed that because Ariza has the same agent that really dragged out Andrew Bynum's contract extension negotiations last fall, the Lakers would go through the same phase and eventually get Ariza back. But clearly, the love for Artest was too great. And yes, the price we're likely to get him at is fantastic considering his talent level.
But talent is not the issue. Kelly Dwyer, probably my favorite basketball blogger,
puts it perfectly; why does a championship team need to alter its formula? The triangle offense plus the most skilled player on the planet put the Lakers at or near the top of offensive efficiency in the league. Also, according to
ESPN's John Hollinger's statistical analysis, our team ranked 2nd in defensive efficiency (3rd in offense). So while Artest may have greater value than Ariza in terms of pure points, rebounds, post-up efficiency and other various stats, would it really improve the Lakers' standing in the league?
The main issue with Artest is the kind of player he is. He gets pretty good numbers but has a deserved reputation for being a very emotional kind of player. We already have an emotional leader in Lamar Odom and a game leader in Kobe Bryant. There was a system in the role players, in guys like Luke Walton (who is horribly underrated by Laker fans), Shannon Brown, and Ariza. There was a chemistry. Pau Gasol is the best passing big man in the league, maybe the most skilled as well in terms of footwork and basketball IQ. All these factors combined to make the 2009 NBA champs
without an effective Andrew Bynum in the post or Sasha Vujacic on the outside. Even Jordan Farmar's production dropped off as a backup point guard.
The potential growth in this young group was undeniable. Farmar will get better; next year is a contract year for him. Bynum will develop more; Kareem is his personal coach/advisor, enough said. Ariza worked all last summer
under Kobe's tutelage to become the shooting threat he was during the playoffs. With the fantastic leadership that Kobe, Phil Jackson, and Derek Fisher provide, this group was primed already for success for the next 2-3 years at least if not more.
Chemistry is everything in basketball. Hoops is a real team game, requiring personal sacrifice to achieve the pinnacle of team success, much like soccer and unlike baseball (a topic for another time). There's a reason the Lakers of 2004 with Karl Malone and Gary Payton failed to beat the cohesive Detroit Piston team that lacked any superstar. And that is also the reason I worry for Artest's arrival in Los Angeles and Ariza's departure. His arrival shakes up the foundation that led to success once and was primed for many more years of team greatness.
Everytime the Lakers played Artest's team, I felt victory was assured because of him. He's a guy who consistently would get the ball, isolate himself, and take a bad shot. This is completely contrary to the triangle offense and yes, Kobe does the same thing. But he's Kobe Bryant. Ron Artest is Ron Artest and I'm not sure he can grasp the nuances of an offense built around movement without the ball and movement of the ball in reaction to the defense without many set plays.
To be sure, I am cautiously excited that the same leadership that Kobe and Phil Jackson have shown all year will be able to reign in Artest. Because if this works out, we now have 4 All-star talents on our roster in Kobe, Gasol, Odom, and Artest. Imagine the perimeter defense with Kobe and Artest and the interior manned by Gasol, Bynum, and Odom. Who needs to defend quick point guards? Oh wait, toward the end of the season, Ariza was our best option against quick guards...
It is true to note that Ariza's success this postseason could be attributed to the heavy attention defenses gave to other Lakers. Shot are easier to make when no defender is up in one's face and when one's teammate is Kobe Bryant. Thus, Ariza's efficient production is likely to drop on whatever team he ends up on, probably the Rockets, when his defender is shadowing Gasol or Kobe.
Kobe certainly has proved that he makes his teammates better, so we could very well see an integrated Artest performing at his Defensive Player of the Year status while still working within the smoothest offense in the league. Kobe and Artest already have a decent relationship and Phil Jackson with his 1o rings commands the attention of any player.
I also agree that Odom is a greater priority in resigning than Ariza is. Dwyer has always defended Odom's mecurial greatness;
he does so again here. Therefore, Odom must be resigned; his skill set is too unique and along with Gasol's, too perfect for the Lakers' offense.
But can this, what is essentially a trade with Houston, deal with Artest work? If the team clicks and Bynum continues to develop, then no one can stop the Lakers (barring injury). San Antonio if healthy is the greatest threat. Shaq is too old and doesn't bring anything to Lebron's Cavs that really pushes them over the top into the championship tier. The Magic getting Vince Carter but losing Turkoglu is simply a lateral movement. Celtics obtaining Rasheed Wallace would be intriguing, but their age is simply pushing it.
The glass half-empty approach says the championship formula has been altered and the broken chemistry is unlikely to orient itself properly for another run at the Larry O'Brien trophy. However, if optimism shines through and Kobe gets his new teammate into the system and brings back his 6'10" candyman point forward, we're looking at a new Laker dynasty that could be better than the dynasty that was likely to happen anyway if we had simply kept the team together.
This is the very defintion of high risk, high reward.